Maryland Weather: Snow Estimates Downgraded


BALTIMORE, MD — Wintry weather expected for Monday and Tuesday is shaking out to look like a touch of snow for central Maryland. The mix of snow and rain showers peppering Maryland Monday evening is not sticking to most surfaces, except for slight accumulations in the northern and western parts of the state.

The National Weather Service provided the following preliminary measurements from around Maryland, collected by weather spotters, media and government agencies.

The following data was reported to weather officials on Monday, March 12:

  • Allegany County: Frostburg 1.3 inches reported at 12:53 p.m.
  • Baltimore County: Bentley Springs 0.3 inch as of 9:45 p.m.
  • Carroll County: Eldersburg 0.5 inch as of 9:39 p.m.
  • Washington County: Pecktonville 0.5 inch as of 7 p.m. and Boonsboro 0.3 inch as of 8:45 p.m.

“Flurries and light snow showers will be possible across the Baltimore and Washington metro areas this evening. Little to no accumulation is expected,” the National Weather Service advised Monday night. “Additional snow showers in the Appalachians could produce light accumulations in the high terrain.”

Here’s what it looked like on Interstate 68 in Garrett County, near the Appalachians, before 11 p.m.:

The high overnight is around freezing or below freezing in much of Maryland, so there is a chance that untreated surfaces may become icy.

Drivers should be careful on wet surfaces, especially bridges and overpasses.

As of 10:30 p.m. on Monday, state transportation data showed the only pavement temps below freezing were in Garrett County and Washington County, while crews elsewhere were monitoring conditions.

Snow estimates were downgraded Monday evening for the Eastern Shore, where up to 2 inches of snow had been predicted.

“Through midnight, any snowfall accumulations will generally be limited to grassy surfaces, sidewalks and cars,” weather officials said of areas east of I-95 in Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

Snow piled up in parts of Virginia and West Virginia on Monday.

Highland County reported 11.8 inches of snow in Virginia as of 3:06 p.m., according to unofficial observations provided to the National Weather Service. In West Virginia, there were 6 inches of snow reported in Pendleton County as of 4 p.m.

Next, the winter weather is aiming for New England, where it could drop up to 18 inches of snow in Massachusetts.

SEE ALSO: Blizzard Conditions Possible In New England

Over the weekend, forecasters said the weather system was expected to drop a coating to an inch of snow on central Maryland. On Monday afternoon, they were reporting it appeared to have taken a different tack, closer to the coast, and the likelihood of accumulating snow diminished.

Here was the National Weather Service forecast as of 5 p.m. Monday:

See the latest forecast for your zip code from the National Weather Service.

PREVIOUS FORECAST — More snow is on the way early this week in Maryland. The snow is expected Monday, and winter weather advisories may be required, according to the National Weather Service. The forecast from the weather service shows potential snow and rain showers on Monday, transitioning to snow by Monday night.

So far, the weather service has issued a hazardous weather outlook for possible snow for Allegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Harford, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George’s, St. Mary’s and Washington counties.

When and how much remain uncertain. However, the National Weather Service has released the probability of certain amounts, detailed below.

The snow is part of a weather system coming in from central Virginia. That area is under a winter storm warning from 8 p.m. Sunday to 2 p.m. Monday, issued by the National Weather Service, calling for 3 to 6 inches of heavy snow.

The forecast for most of Maryland calls for up to an inch of snow between Monday and Tuesday. However, there are slight chances of more.

This is the prediction from the National Weather Service as of Sunday afternoon for Monday’s weather event:

There is a 10 percent chance this could happen, weather officials say:

“The March sun angle will play a role in how much snow can accumulate, and whether or not we see a rain/snow mix…” according to the National Weather Service forecasters.

Snow is expected to start midday Monday, mix with rain and transition to snow showers by Monday evening in Maryland.

The Eastern Shore is under a separate hazardous weather outlook, which describes the approaching weather system as growing in intensity.

“A rapidly intensifying ocean storm will affect the area with snow or rain changing to snow, Monday afternoon and night,” says the hazardous weather outlook, which applies to Caroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne’s and Talbot counties.

“At this point, forecast confidence regarding extent of accumulative snow coverage remains below average,” the weather service says. “Snow amounts will depend on the storm’s track as well as surface temperatures.”

Accuweather Forecast: Flurries Sunday, Rain-Snow Monday

The experts at Accuweather predict anywhere from 0.2 to to 1 inch of snow between Monday and Tuesday in the Baltimore-Washington area. There may be a flurry overnight Sunday into Monday, according to that agency’s forecast.

Accuweather says that precipitation on Monday will likely start with rain in the afternoon, transitioning to “a bit of of snow in the evening,” with approximately a coating to an inch of snow by Tuesday morning.

Weather Channel: “Light Snow And Gusty Winds” May “Brush” Mid-Atlantic

The Weather Channel forecasters say that Maryland may see a wintry mix that will be relatively light, before it dumps more than 6 inches of snow on eastern New England.

“At least light snow and gusty winds may brush the coast from the mid-Atlantic northward to the New York City metro,” The Weather Channel says. “Parts of the immediate coast may see a rain/snow mixture.”

The news of this possible snow comes after back-to-back winter weather events blew through Maryland last week, leading to road closures, school closings and power outages.

The first storm descended upon the region on March 2. Widespread power outages resulted from the Friday storm — nearly half a million customers in Maryland were without electricity at one point.

Some people didn’t get their power back for days, just in time for the next storm to come Wednesday with several inches of snow in the northeastern part of the state.

Maryland dodged a bullet with Wednesday’s storm, which for neighboring areas was a monster, dumping as much as 16 inches of snow in the suburbs of Philadelphia. Roads were not passable, schools were closed and more mass power outages resulted there. In Maryland, just a couple of school districts closed and others opened late on March 7.

National Weather Service Forecast For Central Maryland

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 44 and a low of 29, with clouds rolling in for the evening.

Monday: Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow before 2 p.m., then rain and snow likely before 8 p.m. High near 39 and low of 29 degrees. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New snow accumulation of less than 1 inch possible near D.C. and less than 0.5 in around Baltimore. Snow showers from 8 p.m. to 2 a.m. with less than 0.5 inch new accumulation possible.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Northwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Partly cloudy, with a low around 26 in the evening.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 39 and low of 27 degrees.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 47 degrees and low of 32.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high of 51 degrees and a low of 36.

Forecast data is from the National Weather Service.

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Graphics via the National Weather Service.

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